NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Paulistano — Bauru

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Model prediction for 31 October

Paulistano66%
Bauru34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Paulistano are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 83:78 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Paulistano +3.3, Bauru +1.0 point in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Paulistano — Bauru83.0–77.7
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Paulistano points
  • Bauru points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Paulistano

  • 10.05Pinheiros74:84
  • 08.05Pinheiros68:76
  • 05.05away · Pinheiros92:101
  • 30.04Bauru71:62
  • 27.04away · Bauru75:88

Bauru

  • 30.04away · Paulistano62:71
  • 27.04Paulistano88:75
  • 25.04Paulistano80:95
  • 22.04away · Paulistano77:80
  • 18.04away · Brasilia65:94

Head to head

  • 30.04.2026Paulistano — Bauru71:62
  • 27.04.2026Bauru — Paulistano88:75
  • 25.04.2026Bauru — Paulistano80:95
  • 22.04.2026Paulistano — Bauru80:77
  • 16.01.2026Bauru — Paulistano87:89

Full record: 26 meetings →

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →