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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Paulistano — Franca

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Model prediction for 29 October

Paulistano37%
Franca63%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Franca are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 82:86 — 167 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Paulistano +3.3, Franca +10.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Paulistano — Franca81.6–85.7
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Paulistano points
  • Franca points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Paulistano

  • 10.05Pinheiros74:84
  • 08.05Pinheiros68:76
  • 05.05away · Pinheiros92:101
  • 30.04Bauru71:62
  • 27.04away · Bauru75:88

Franca

  • 07.06Pinheiros85:76
  • 04.06away · Pinheiros92:94
  • 03.06away · Pinheiros78:75
  • 31.05Pinheiros82:73
  • 29.05Brasilia68:66

Head to head

  • 04.02.2026Franca — Paulistano89:91
  • 25.10.2025Paulistano — Franca69:71
  • 19.01.2025Franca — Paulistano84:86 OT
  • 25.10.2024Paulistano — Franca90:100
  • 09.05.2024Paulistano — Franca73:80

Full record: 17 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • Sao JoseUnifacisapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.7
  • BotafogoCaxias do Sulpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —150.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →