VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Samara — Zenit Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zenit Petersburg are clear favourites: 99% against 1% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 70:98 — 169 points in total.
Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Samara −18.1, Zenit Petersburg +11.6 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Samara — Zenit Petersburg | 70.3–98.4 | |
| Total over 168.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 168.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
231 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Samara points
- Zenit Petersburg points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 07.10Unics Kazan62:117
- 04.10Dynamo Vladivostok84:98
- 26.09away · Saratov69:77
- 22.04away · MBA Moscow61:79
- 20.04Nizhny Novgorod76:78
- 11.10Saratov91:71
- 07.10Parma Perm99:85
- 04.10away · Unics Kazan60:95
- 25.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg92:68
- 12.06Lokomotiv Kuban76:84
Head to head
- 30.03.2026Samara — Zenit Petersburg63:100
- 01.02.2026Zenit Petersburg — Samara113:52
- 10.12.2025Zenit Petersburg — Samara95:56
- 15.10.2025Samara — Zenit Petersburg64:113
- 05.03.2025Zenit Petersburg — Samara115:57
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Unics Kazan | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zenit Petersburg | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lokomotiv Kuban | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Enisey | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
| 11 | Samara | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
VTB United League on the same day
- Uralmash EkaterinburgDynamo Vladivostokpreliminary81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 99% will not happen in roughly 1 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →