Eredivisie: matchday 9 predictions
16–18 October · 9 matches · season 2026/27
Eredivisie matchday 9: 9 matches, 16–18 October. The model expects 3.4 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 4 matches, an away win in 5. In matchday 8 the most likely outcome came true in 3 of 9 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedADO Den Haag — PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven 77% to win; most likely score 0:3; 3.8 goals on average; over 2.5: 74%
- Closest matchPEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles31% v 41%, draw 28%
- Possible upsetSC Heerenveen — ExcelsiorExcelsior 22% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Feyenoord lead with 20 points from 8 matches; PSV Eindhoven are second, 1 point behind. The leader’s game this round: Telstar — Feyenoord, 63% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Feyenoord 32%, PSV Eindhoven 47%.
In the relegation and relegation play-off places: PEC Zwolle, ADO Den Haag and Willem II; they are 2 to 4 points behind 15th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Willem II, 51% to go down.
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
Saturday, 17 October
- 815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.8
- 1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
- 6222151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
Sunday, 18 October
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- 1824582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
- 3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
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