Eredivisie: matchday 9 predictions
16–18 October · 9 matches · season 2026/27
Eredivisie matchday 9: 9 matches, 16–18 October. The model expects 3.4 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 4 matches, an away win in 5. In matchday 8 the most likely outcome came true in 3 of 9 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedADO Den Haag — PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven 72% to win; most likely score 0:3; 3.8 goals on average; over 2.5: 73%
- Closest matchPEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles29% v 44%, draw 28%
- Possible upsetFC Groningen — AjaxFC Groningen 21% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Feyenoord lead with 20 points from 8 matches; PSV Eindhoven are second, 1 point behind. The leader’s game this round: Telstar — Feyenoord, 70% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Feyenoord 32%, PSV Eindhoven 47%.
In the relegation and relegation play-off places: PEC Zwolle, ADO Den Haag and Willem II; they are 2 to 4 points behind 15th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Willem II, 51% to go down.
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
Saturday, 17 October
- 1117722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.8
- 1020702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
- 6222151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
Sunday, 18 October
- 2928442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.2
- 1422642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- 2127522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- 6920101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Eredivisie: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →