Ghana Premier League, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Ashanti Gold — Samartex
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Ashanti Gold to win (50%), came true.
Ashanti Gold are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Samartex: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ashanti Gold — Samartex What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Ashanti Gold not to lose | 76% | |
| Samartex not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ashanti Gold
- Ashanti Gold goals
- Samartex goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.10away · Heart of Lions2:3
- 27.09Debibi2:1
- 20.09away · Holy Stars0:1
- 12.09Vision FC3:1
- 06.09away · Port City1:1
- 04.10Young Apostles1:0
- 27.09away · All Blacks1:1
- 20.09Asante Kotoko SC1:1
- 13.09away · Aduana Stars1:0
- 06.09Karela United3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 6 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 3 | Samartex | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 4 | Port City | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Ashanti Gold | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
Next matches
- Aduana StarsAshanti Gold18 October · Ghana Premier League5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- SamartexMedeama SC18 October · Ghana Premier League4429271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 14:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 5425201The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 6819131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
- 5430171The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.4
- 4827251The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.3
- 7018111The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 4130291The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →