EFL Championship, round 9 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers — Cardiff City
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Blackburn Rovers to win (47%), came true.
Blackburn Rovers are clear favourites: 47% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Blackburn Rovers are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers — Cardiff City What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Blackburn Rovers not to lose | 75% | |
| Cardiff City not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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- Blackburn Rovers goals
- Cardiff City goals
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Form
- 19.09away · Portsmouth2:2
- 12.09Millwall3:1
- 08.09Sheffield United1:2
- 05.09away · Preston North End1:2
- 01.09away · Lincoln City0:0
- 19.09Charlton Athletic3:1
- 12.09away · Bolton Wanderers0:1
- 08.09Stoke City1:1
- 05.09away · Portsmouth0:2
- 02.09away · Queens Park Rangers1:2
Head to head
- 15.03.2025Blackburn Rovers — Cardiff City1:2
- 09.11.2024Cardiff City — Blackburn Rovers1:3
- 20.02.2024Cardiff City — Blackburn Rovers0:0
- 21.10.2023Blackburn Rovers — Cardiff City1:0
- 27.09.2023Blackburn Rovers — Cardiff City5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 10 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 9 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
Next matches
- Bristol CityBlackburn Rovers13 October · Championship4130301The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- Cardiff CityWatford13 October · Championship4728261The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
Championship on the same day
- 353134XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2
- 4329281The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 383032XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:0.2.3
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 4627271The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.9
- 3129402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.8
- 4230291The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →