EFL Championship, round 9 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough — Wolverhampton Wanderers
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1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Middlesbrough to win (46%), came true.
Middlesbrough are slightly stronger: 46% against 27%, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Middlesbrough are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Middlesbrough — Wolverhampton Wanderers What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Middlesbrough not to lose | 73% | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- Handicap Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough goals
- Wolverhampton Wanderers goals
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Form
- 19.09away · Birmingham City2:2
- 15.09Millwall2:2
- 12.09Norwich City4:3
- 08.09away · Crystal Palace0:3
- 05.09away · Queens Park Rangers1:0
- 20.09West Bromwich Albion1:0
- 16.09away · Everton0:1
- 13.09away · Sheffield United1:0
- 06.09away · Birmingham City2:2
- 01.09away · West Ham United2:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Swansea City | 10 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 2, Promotion | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Southampton | 9 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
Next matches
- Wolverhampton WanderersBolton Wanderers13 October · Championship6322151The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:0.3.0
- Stoke CityMiddlesbrough13 October · Championship2128512The most likely outcome came true: 22:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
Championship on the same day
- 353134XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2
- 4329281The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 383032XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:0.2.3
- 4728251The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 3129402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.8
- 4230291The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →