EFL Championship, round 9 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · The Valley
Charlton Athletic — Bristol City
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:1Came true
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (31%), came true.
Evenly matched: Charlton Athletic 35%, Bristol City 34%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlton Athletic — Bristol City What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Charlton Athletic not to lose | 66% | |
| Bristol City not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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Form
- 19.09away · Cardiff City1:3
- 12.09Portsmouth0:0
- 09.09Queens Park Rangers0:0
- 05.09away · Stoke City0:4
- 02.09away · West Bromwich Albion1:1
- 18.09Watford1:0
- 15.09Lincoln City0:1
- 12.09away · Southampton1:4
- 05.09away · Burnley2:1
- 01.09away · Preston North End3:1
Head to head
- 03.04.2026Charlton Athletic — Bristol City1:2
- 16.08.2025Bristol City — Charlton Athletic0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
Next matches
- BurnleyCharlton Athletic13 October · Championship5826161The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- Bristol CityBlackburn Rovers13 October · Championship4130301The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
Championship on the same day
- 4329281The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 383032XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:0.2.3
- 4728251The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 4627271The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.9
- 3129402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.8
- 4230291The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →