English Premier League, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Brighton & Hove Albion are clear favourites: 50% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brighton & Hove Albion are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Brighton & Hove Albion — No. 3, 13 pts; Crystal Palace — No. 12, 7 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Brighton & Hove Albion: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Brighton & Hove Albion 1 win, Crystal Palace 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace What is xG? | 1.8–1.2 | |
| Brighton & Hove Albion not to lose | 79% | |
| Crystal Palace not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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Form
- 10.10away · Sunderland2:0
- 19.09Arsenal3:0
- 16.09away · Manchester United3:2
- 13.09away · Coventry City5:0
- 05.09Leeds United1:1
- 11.10Nottingham Forest3:1
- 20.09away · Leeds United0:0
- 17.09Lech Poznań4:0
- 12.09Ipswich Town2:3
- 08.09Middlesbrough3:0
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace0:1
- 09.11.2025Crystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion0:0
- 05.04.2025Crystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion2:1
- 15.12.2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace1:3
- 03.02.2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 3, Champions League | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 4, Champions League | Brentford | 6 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 6 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Premier League on the same day
- 5625181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 323038XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:23.0
- 1525602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →