EFL Championship, round 10 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers
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0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Bristol City to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.
Bristol City are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bristol City are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Bristol City: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Bristol City not to lose | 70% | |
| Blackburn Rovers not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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- Handicap Bristol City
- Bristol City goals
- Blackburn Rovers goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Charlton Athletic1:1
- 18.09Watford1:0
- 15.09Lincoln City0:1
- 12.09away · Southampton1:4
- 05.09away · Burnley2:1
- 10.10Cardiff City2:1
- 19.09away · Portsmouth2:2
- 12.09Millwall3:1
- 08.09Sheffield United1:2
- 05.09away · Preston North End1:2
Head to head
- 24.02.2026Blackburn Rovers — Bristol City1:2
- 04.11.2025Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers0:1
- 25.01.2025Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers2:1
- 14.09.2024Blackburn Rovers — Bristol City3:0
- 10.04.2024Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
Next matches
- Bristol CitySheffield United17 October · Championship3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- West Bromwich AlbionBlackburn Rovers17 October · Championship5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
Championship on the same day
- 5826161The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 4728261The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 4927241The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 6322151The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:0.3.0
- 4330271The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 6024161The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 2128512The most likely outcome came true: 22:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →