EFL Championship, round 10 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Bolton Wanderers
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In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, Wolverhampton Wanderers to win (63%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.
Wolverhampton Wanderers are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Wolverhampton Wanderers are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers — Bolton Wanderers What is xG? | 2.1–0.9 | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose | 85% | |
| Bolton Wanderers not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Wolverhampton Wanderers goals
- Bolton Wanderers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · Middlesbrough0:1
- 20.09West Bromwich Albion1:0
- 16.09away · Everton0:1
- 13.09away · Sheffield United1:0
- 06.09away · Birmingham City2:2
- 10.10Stoke City1:2
- 20.09away · Norwich City4:3
- 12.09Cardiff City1:0
- 08.09West Ham United2:3
- 05.09away · Millwall0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
Next matches
- BurnleyWolverhampton Wanderers16 October · Championship3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- SouthamptonBolton Wanderers17 October · Championship6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.5
Championship on the same day
- 4130301The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 5826161The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 4728261The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 4927241The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4330271The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 6024161The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 2128512The most likely outcome came true: 22:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →