EFL Championship, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
West Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
West Bromwich Albion are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings West Bromwich Albion are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: West Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| West Bromwich Albion not to lose | 79% | |
| Blackburn Rovers not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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- Handicap West Bromwich Albion
- West Bromwich Albion goals
- Blackburn Rovers goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 13.10away · Wrexham2:1
- 10.10Birmingham City0:1
- 20.09away · Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
- 12.09Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 09.09away · Derby County1:0
- 13.10away · Bristol City1:0
- 10.10Cardiff City2:1
- 19.09away · Portsmouth2:2
- 12.09Millwall3:1
- 08.09Sheffield United1:2
Head to head
- 06.04.2026Blackburn Rovers — West Bromwich Albion0:0
- 09.08.2025West Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers1:0
- 12.02.2025West Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers0:2
- 23.10.2024Blackburn Rovers — West Bromwich Albion0:0
- 13.01.2024West Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Birmingham City | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- 4729251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →