Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Stade Saputo
CF Montréal — Atlanta United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
CF Montréal are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CF Montréal are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: CF Montréal — No. 29, 24 pts; Atlanta United — No. 28, 27 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: CF Montréal 1 win, Atlanta United 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CF Montréal — Atlanta United What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| CF Montréal not to lose | 72% | |
| Atlanta United not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CF Montréal
- CF Montréal goals
- Atlanta United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Toronto FC1:2
- 27.09FC Cincinnati3:1
- 20.09Columbus Crew0:2
- 13.09away · Colorado Rapids0:1
- 10.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 11.10FC Cincinnati1:3
- 27.09New York City FC2:2
- 20.09away · Portland Timbers1:0
- 13.09away · DC United0:0
- 10.09Orlando City2:3
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Atlanta United — CF Montréal3:1
- 10.08.2025CF Montréal — Atlanta United1:1
- 23.02.2025Atlanta United — CF Montréal3:2
- 23.10.2024CF Montréal — Atlanta United2:2
- 03.10.2024Atlanta United — CF Montréal1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →