Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
CF Os Belenenses — Arouca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Arouca are clear favourites: 70% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Arouca are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CF Os Belenenses — Arouca What is xG? | 0.8–2.3 | |
| CF Os Belenenses not to lose | 30% | |
| Arouca not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CF Os Belenenses
- CF Os Belenenses goals
- Arouca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 19.09away · Beira-Mar2:0
- 19.10Estoril1:2
- 20.09Marítimo2:0
- 19.10Gil Vicente0:2
- 22.09Trofense3:0
- 11.10Estrela da Amadora1:0
- 19.09away · Sporting CP2:2
- 13.09Santa Clara1:2
- 07.09away · Estoril0:0
- 29.08Marítimo2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- 3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →