Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Colorado Rapids — Vancouver Whitecaps

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Model prediction for 25 October

Colorado Rapids30%
Draw28%
Vancouver Whitecaps42%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Vancouver Whitecaps are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 28%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Vancouver Whitecaps are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Colorado Rapids — No. 14, 37 pts; Vancouver Whitecaps — No. 2, 51 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
  • Colorado Rapids: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Colorado Rapids 2 wins, Vancouver Whitecaps 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Colorado Rapids — Vancouver Whitecaps What is xG?1.4–1.7
Colorado Rapids not to lose58%
Vancouver Whitecaps not to lose70%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes66%
Both teams to score: no34%
Total over 2.563%
Total under 2.537%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Colorado Rapids
  • Colorado Rapids goals
  • Vancouver Whitecaps goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Colorado Rapids

  • 11.10San Jose Earthquakes1:1
  • 27.09away · LA Galaxy2:3
  • 20.09Seattle Sounders FC3:3
  • 17.09St. Louis City0:3
  • 13.09CF Montréal1:0

Vancouver Whitecaps

  • 11.10away · Los Angeles FC1:1
  • 07.10away · Chicago Fire FC1:3
  • 27.09DC United3:3
  • 20.09away · Real Salt Lake3:0
  • 14.09Austin FC1:2

Head to head

  • 26.04.2026Vancouver Whitecaps — Colorado Rapids3:1
  • 13.07.2025Colorado Rapids — Vancouver Whitecaps3:0
  • 06.04.2025Vancouver Whitecaps — Colorado Rapids2:0
  • 02.06.2024Vancouver Whitecaps — Colorado Rapids2:1
  • 16.05.2024Colorado Rapids — Vancouver Whitecaps1:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceNashville SC28196359–22+3763
2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceVancouver Whitecaps28156761–30+3151
3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceSt. Louis City28148654–38+1650
13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceSeattle Sounders FC28118938–35+341
14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff placeColorado Rapids281141339–39037
15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceOrlando City281141351–66-1537

Season 2026

Full table

MLS on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →