English Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Coventry City — Sunderland
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sunderland are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 32%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Coventry City — No. 14, 6 pts; Sunderland — No. 17, 4 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Coventry City 2 wins, Sunderland 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coventry City — Sunderland What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Coventry City not to lose | 61% | |
| Sunderland not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Coventry City
- Coventry City goals
- Sunderland goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10Newcastle United4:1
- 19.09away · Nottingham Forest1:0
- 16.09Aston Villa1:3
- 13.09Brighton & Hove Albion0:5
- 05.09away · Manchester City0:1
- 10.10Brighton & Hove Albion0:2
- 20.09away · Manchester City3:5
- 16.09AZ Alkmaar1:0
- 12.09Arsenal0:2
- 08.09Hull City1:0
Head to head
- 13.05.2025Sunderland — Coventry City1:1
- 09.05.2025Coventry City — Sunderland1:2
- 15.03.2025Coventry City — Sunderland3:0
- 09.11.2024Sunderland — Coventry City2:2
- 23.12.2023Sunderland — Coventry City0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | AFC Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
Premier League on the same day
- ChelseaManchester Unitedpreliminary4926241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- AFC BournemouthLeeds Unitedpreliminary4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- BrentfordNottingham Forestpreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Hull CityIpswich Townpreliminary2931402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Manchester CityBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Tottenham HotspurCrystal Palacepreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Aston VillaFulhampreliminary4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →