UEFA Champions League, round 3 · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Fenerbahçe — Slavia Prague
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Fenerbahçe are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Fenerbahçe are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Fenerbahçe — No. 23, 1 pt; Slavia Prague — No. 30, 0 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Fenerbahçe: unbeaten in 4; Slavia Prague: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 3 meetings: Fenerbahçe 1 win, Slavia Prague 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Fenerbahçe 10, Slavia Prague 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fenerbahçe — Slavia Prague What is xG? | 2.3–0.8 | |
| Fenerbahçe not to lose | 89% | |
| Slavia Prague not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fenerbahçe
- Fenerbahçe goals
- Slavia Prague goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Rizespor3:0
- 20.09Eyüpspor8:0
- 14.09away · Gaziantep FK0:0
- 10.09Roma1:1
- 05.09Beşiktaş1:2
- 13.10away · Sabah FK0:2
- 10.09Lens2:3
- 28.01away · Pafos FC1:4
- 21.01Barcelona2:4
- 09.12away · Tottenham Hotspur0:3
Head to head
- 28.11.2024Slavia Prague — Fenerbahçe1:2
- 24.02.2022Slavia Prague — Fenerbahçe3:2
- 17.02.2022Fenerbahçe — Slavia Prague2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 24, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Napoli | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Champions League on the same day
- 815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- 4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
- 831261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:03.6
- 89831The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:04.0
- 5224231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- 5424221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →