Tanzania Premier League, round 7 · Friday, 9 October, MSK
Fountain Gate FC — JKT Tanzania
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:2Missed
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (31%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 31% fails in about 69 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Fountain Gate FC 33%, JKT Tanzania 36%, draw 31%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings JKT Tanzania are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Fountain Gate FC: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Fountain Gate FC 0 wins, JKT Tanzania 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fountain Gate FC — JKT Tanzania What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Fountain Gate FC not to lose | 64% | |
| JKT Tanzania not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fountain Gate FC
- Fountain Gate FC goals
- JKT Tanzania goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.09away · Kagera Sugar1:1
- 31.08Young Africans0:2
- 28.08Mbeya City0:2
- 25.08away · Namungo FC0:1
- 18.08Mashujaa1:0
- 12.09away · Coastal Union1:2
- 05.09Pamba Jiji3:0
- 29.08Namungo FC2:1
- 24.08away · Young Africans0:4
- 20.08away · Polisi Tanzania FC0:2
Head to head
- 21.05.2026JKT Tanzania — Fountain Gate FC2:2
- 30.11.2025Fountain Gate FC — JKT Tanzania0:2
- 13.05.2025JKT Tanzania — Fountain Gate FC3:1
- 29.11.2024Fountain Gate FC — JKT Tanzania0:1
- 13.05.2024JKT Tanzania — Fountain Gate FC1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate FC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 4 |
Next matches
- Fountain Gate FCPamba Jiji16 October · Tanzania Premier League343135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
- JKT TanzaniaMbeya City18 October · Tanzania Premier League5328191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- 5826161The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 2930422The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.5
- 2030502The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →