UEFA Europa League, round 3 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Juventus — Rennes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Juventus are clear favourites: 69% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventus are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Juventus — Rennes What is xG? | 2.3–0.8 | |
| Juventus not to lose | 88% | |
| Rennes not to lose | 31% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Juventus
- Juventus goals
- Rennes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Cagliari1:1
- 20.09Atalanta2:0
- 17.09NEC Nijmegen5:0
- 13.09away · Sassuolo2:3
- 06.09Milan1:1
- 11.10Auxerre4:1
- 19.09away · Lyon0:4
- 16.09away · Sturm Graz0:0
- 11.09Marseille1:0
- 06.09away · Angers2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Straight to the round of 16 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2, Straight to the round of 16 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 17, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Europa League on the same day
- FerencvárosTorreensepreliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Union St.GilloiseHapoel Beer Shevapreliminary801471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegenpreliminary4826271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Sturm GrazMarseillepreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Lech PoznańSunderlandpreliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- OFI CreteBayer Leverkusenpreliminary1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- Ararat ArmeniaAZ Alkmaarpreliminary2425522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- OlympiacosSparta Praguepreliminary741691The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →