Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Lusitânia Lourosa — AD Limianos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Lusitânia Lourosa are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lusitânia Lourosa are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lusitânia Lourosa — AD Limianos What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Lusitânia Lourosa not to lose | 73% | |
| AD Limianos not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lusitânia Lourosa
- Lusitânia Lourosa goals
- AD Limianos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Madalena3:1
- 23.11Torreense0:1
- 19.10GD Resende2:0
- 20.09away · FC Castrense5:0
- 20.10away · Chaves0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1219702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- 3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →