Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Mafra — Santa Clara
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Santa Clara are clear favourites: 79% against 7% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Santa Clara are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Santa Clara: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mafra — Santa Clara What is xG? | 0.7–2.7 | |
| Mafra not to lose | 21% | |
| Santa Clara not to lose | 93% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mafra
- Mafra goals
- Santa Clara goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 19.09Tirsense2:2
- 21.09away · Celoricense0:1
- 19.10away · Oliveira Hospital0:1
- 21.09away · Olímpico Montijo2:1
- 10.10away · Casa Pia AC1:0
- 20.09Braga0:0
- 13.09away · Arouca2:1
- 06.09Rio Ave4:0
- 29.08away · Alverca1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1219702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →