UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · CEPAC Vélodrome
Marseille — Olympiacos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Marseille are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Olympiacos are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Marseille — No. 33, 0 pts; Olympiacos — No. 12, 3 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Olympiacos: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Marseille — Olympiacos What is xG? | 1.7–1.2 | |
| Marseille not to lose | 74% | |
| Olympiacos not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Handicap Marseille
- Marseille goals
- Olympiacos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Troyes2:0
- 20.09Paris Saint-Germain1:2
- 17.09away · Beşiktaş1:4
- 11.09away · Rennes0:1
- 06.09Paris FC2:3
- 11.10Panathinaikos1:0
- 20.09away · Levadiakos1:0
- 16.09Jagiellonia Białystok2:1
- 12.09OFI Crete0:1
- 05.09away · NFC Volos1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 32 | Ararat Armenia | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 7217101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- 4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 6221161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 5225241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →