UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · CEPAC Vélodrome
Marseille — Olympiacos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Evenly matched: Marseille 36%, Olympiacos 38%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Olympiacos are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Marseille — Olympiacos What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Marseille not to lose | 62% | |
| Olympiacos not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Marseille
- Marseille goals
- Olympiacos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Troyes2:0
- 20.09Paris Saint-Germain1:2
- 17.09away · Beşiktaş1:4
- 11.09away · Rennes0:1
- 06.09Paris FC2:3
- 11.10Panathinaikos1:0
- 20.09away · Levadiakos1:0
- 16.09Jagiellonia Białystok2:1
- 12.09OFI Crete0:1
- 05.09away · NFC Volos1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 32 | Ararat Armenia | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2926452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →