Major League Soccer (MLS), round 28 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Gillette Stadium
New England Revolution — Seattle Sounders FC
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In short
Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, New England Revolution to win (40%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 40% fails in about 60 matches out of 100 on average.
New England Revolution are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 28%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Seattle Sounders FC: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New England Revolution — Seattle Sounders FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.4 | |
| New England Revolution not to lose | 69% | |
| Seattle Sounders FC not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap New England Revolution
- New England Revolution goals
- Seattle Sounders FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 27.09away · Real Salt Lake0:3
- 20.09Orlando City4:2
- 14.09away · Chicago Fire FC2:1
- 10.09away · New York City FC2:1
- 06.09away · LA Galaxy1:2
- 02.10Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 27.09Minnesota United3:1
- 24.09Real Salt Lake2:0
- 20.09away · Colorado Rapids3:3
- 13.09away · LA Galaxy1:1
Head to head
- 07.07.2024Seattle Sounders FC — New England Revolution2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
Next matches
- FC CincinnatiNew England Revolution15 October · MLS3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- FC DallasSeattle Sounders FC15 October · MLS3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
MLS on the same day
- 4326301The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:1.3.4
- 4428281The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 5723201The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 1:0.3.7
- 3827351The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.5
- 3728351The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.2
- 6620141The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.5
- 2327502The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3227402The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 1:2.3.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →