Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Newell's Old Boys — Lanús
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In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Newell's Old Boys to win (36%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 36% fails in about 64 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Newell's Old Boys 36%, Lanús 31%, draw 33%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lanús are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Newell's Old Boys: unbeaten in 5; Lanús: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Newell's Old Boys 3 wins, Lanús 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Newell's Old Boys — Lanús What is xG? | 1.0–0.9 | |
| Newell's Old Boys not to lose | 69% | |
| Lanús not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Newell's Old Boys
- Newell's Old Boys goals
- Lanús goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 20.09away · Club Atlético Platense1:0
- 11.09Vélez Sarsfield1:1
- 06.09away · Rosario Central1:1
- 01.09away · Estudiantes0:0
- 23.08Banfield2:1
- 22.09Estudiantes2:1
- 15.09away · Deportivo Riestra3:0
- 06.09Defensa y Justicia1:0
- 29.08away · Boca Juniors0:1
- 25.08Argentinos Juniors1:1
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Lanús — Newell's Old Boys5:0
- 05.10.2024Newell's Old Boys — Lanús2:1
- 21.05.2023Lanús — Newell's Old Boys1:0
- 17.08.2022Newell's Old Boys — Lanús2:0
- 20.09.2021Lanús — Newell's Old Boys1:2
Next matches
- LanúsVélez Sarsfield12 October · Liga Profesional5128211The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.2
- Gimnasia MendozaNewell's Old Boys13 October · Liga Profesional4231271The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 3532331The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
- 6224141The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 4828241The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 4631231The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 4831221The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →