Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa y Justicia — San Lorenzo
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3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Defensa y Justicia to win (46%), came true.
Defensa y Justicia are clear favourites: 46% against 23% for the opponent, draw 31%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Defensa y Justicia — San Lorenzo What is xG? | 1.3–0.8 | |
| Defensa y Justicia not to lose | 77% | |
| San Lorenzo not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia goals
- San Lorenzo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Central Córdoba de Santiago2:2
- 12.09Gimnasia Mendoza2:0
- 06.09away · Lanús0:1
- 01.09Club Atlético Platense1:0
- 23.08away · Belgrano2:1
- 20.09Boca Juniors0:2
- 14.09away · Independiente1:1
- 06.09Talleres1:0
- 01.09away · Instituto0:1
- 22.08away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto0:0
Head to head
- 17.03.2026San Lorenzo — Defensa y Justicia2:5
- 22.09.2024Defensa y Justicia — San Lorenzo0:0
- 24.11.2023Defensa y Justicia — San Lorenzo1:0
- 08.05.2023San Lorenzo — Defensa y Justicia0:0
- 06.09.2022Defensa y Justicia — San Lorenzo0:0
Next matches
- UniónDefensa y Justicia10 October · Liga Profesional4528271The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- San LorenzoDeportivo Riestra11 October · Liga Profesional413326XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:0.1.6
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 3532331The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
- 6224141The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 4828241The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 3633311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
- 4831221The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →