Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Olhanense — Oliveira Hospital

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Model prediction for 18 October

Olhanense35%
Draw27%
Oliveira Hospital38%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Olhanense 35%, Oliveira Hospital 38%, draw 27%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Olhanense — Oliveira Hospital What is xG?1.4–1.4
Olhanense not to lose62%
Oliveira Hospital not to lose65%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Olhanense
  • Olhanense goals
  • Oliveira Hospital goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Olhanense

  • 20.09Portel1:0

Oliveira Hospital

  • 20.09Juventude Évora3:2
  • 21.09away · Silves FC2:3
  • 21.12SC João Ver1:3
  • 24.11Cinfães4:2
  • 19.10Mafra1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Taca de Portugal on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →