Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FC — Houston Dynamo FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
San Diego FC are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 27%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings San Diego FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: San Diego FC — No. 21, 32 pts; Houston Dynamo FC — No. 10, 45 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- San Diego FC: winless in 5; Houston Dynamo FC: winless in 4.
- Last 3 meetings: San Diego FC 1 win, Houston Dynamo FC 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Diego FC — Houston Dynamo FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| San Diego FC not to lose | 71% | |
| Houston Dynamo FC not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap San Diego FC
- San Diego FC goals
- Houston Dynamo FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Red Bull New York1:4
- 27.09away · Austin FC3:3
- 21.09away · Inter Miami CF2:2
- 14.09Philadelphia Union0:5
- 10.09San Jose Earthquakes2:3
- 11.10away · Minnesota United2:2
- 27.09Sporting Kansas City0:2
- 20.09FC Cincinnati2:2
- 13.09away · San Jose Earthquakes0:1
- 10.09Real Salt Lake2:1
Head to head
- 23.04.2026Houston Dynamo FC — San Diego FC1:0
- 05.10.2025Houston Dynamo FC — San Diego FC2:4
- 06.07.2025San Diego FC — Houston Dynamo FC3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3528372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →