Russian Cup, round 5 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Stadion im. V. I. Lenina
SKA-Khabarovsk — Dinamo Kirov
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2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, SKA-Khabarovsk to win (54%), came true.
SKA-Khabarovsk are clear favourites: 54% against 22% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings SKA-Khabarovsk are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA-Khabarovsk — Dinamo Kirov What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| SKA-Khabarovsk not to lose | 78% | |
| Dinamo Kirov not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap SKA-Khabarovsk
- SKA-Khabarovsk goals
- Dinamo Kirov goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Russian Cup on the same day
- 3827361The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 5923181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.9
- 3827361The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.8
- 3227422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 1017732The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- 1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →