EFL Championship, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Southampton — Queens Park Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Southampton are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Southampton are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Southampton — No. 3, 17 pts; Queens Park Rangers — No. 9, 14 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Queens Park Rangers: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 4 meetings: Southampton 4 wins, Queens Park Rangers 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Southampton — Queens Park Rangers What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Southampton not to lose | 79% | |
| Queens Park Rangers not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Handicap Southampton
- Southampton goals
- Queens Park Rangers goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Portsmouth1:0
- 19.09away · Wrexham1:2
- 12.09Bristol City4:1
- 08.09Swansea City3:1
- 05.09away · Lincoln City1:1
- 09.10away · West Ham United1:1
- 19.09Preston North End2:2
- 12.09away · West Bromwich Albion1:1
- 09.09away · Charlton Athletic0:0
- 05.09Middlesbrough0:1
Head to head
- 24.02.2026Southampton — Queens Park Rangers5:0
- 05.11.2025Queens Park Rangers — Southampton1:2
- 23.12.2023Queens Park Rangers — Southampton0:1
- 26.08.2023Southampton — Queens Park Rangers2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Promotion | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Southampton | 9 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Birmingham City | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- Lincoln CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3230382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Norwich CityWatfordpreliminary6423131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Stoke CityPreston North Endpreliminary4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Bolton WanderersBristol Citypreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- BurnleyPortsmouthpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- MiddlesbroughCharlton Athleticpreliminary731891The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- MillwallDerby Countypreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Swansea CityBlackburn Roverspreliminary5726161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →