Scottish Premiership, round 11 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
St. Mirren — Hibernian
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: St. Mirren 32%, Hibernian 39%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hibernian are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: St. Mirren — No. 7, 10 pts; Hibernian — No. 10, 7 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- St. Mirren: 4 defeats in a row; Hibernian: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: St. Mirren 0 wins, Hibernian 2, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Mirren — Hibernian What is xG? | 1.4–1.5 | |
| St. Mirren not to lose | 61% | |
| Hibernian not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap St. Mirren
- St. Mirren goals
- Hibernian goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Heart of Midlothian0:5
- 19.09Dundee United0:3
- 09.09away · Rangers0:1
- 05.09Celtic1:2
- 02.09away · Kilmarnock1:0
- 10.10away · Dundee United0:1
- 19.09Aberdeen1:1
- 15.09Kilmarnock0:1
- 06.09away · St. Johnstone1:2
- 03.09Heart of Midlothian1:3
Head to head
- 14.02.2026Hibernian — St. Mirren2:0
- 08.11.2025St. Mirren — Hibernian0:3
- 31.08.2025Hibernian — St. Mirren1:1
- 14.05.2025St. Mirren — Hibernian2:2
- 16.02.2025St. Mirren — Hibernian0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 8, Relegation round | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 9, Relegation round | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- AberdeenFalkirkpreliminary4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- CelticDundee Unitedpreliminary771491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
- Dundee FCKilmarnockpreliminary4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- St. JohnstoneMotherwellpreliminary4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Heart of MidlothianRangerspreliminary2928432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →