Scottish Premiership, round 11 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Celtic — Dundee United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Celtic are clear favourites: 82% against 6% for the opponent, draw 11%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 73%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celtic are about 1.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celtic — Dundee United What is xG? | 2.9–0.8 | |
| Celtic not to lose | 94% | |
| Dundee United not to lose | 18% | |
| No draw | 89% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 73% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 27% |
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- Dundee United goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Motherwell2:0
- 20.09Rangers0:1
- 17.09Ferencváros1:3
- 09.09away · St. Johnstone1:0
- 05.09away · St. Mirren2:1
- 10.10Hibernian1:0
- 19.09away · St. Mirren3:0
- 05.09Falkirk1:1
- 02.09away · Motherwell0:3
- 29.08away · Kilmarnock4:0
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Dundee United — Celtic2:0
- 10.01.2026Celtic — Dundee United4:0
- 17.12.2025Dundee United — Celtic2:1
- 26.04.2025Dundee United — Celtic0:5
- 15.02.2025Celtic — Dundee United3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Celtic | 8 | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Rangers | 8 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 5, Championship round | St. Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- AberdeenFalkirkpreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- Dundee FCKilmarnockpreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- St. JohnstoneMotherwellpreliminary3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- St. MirrenHibernianpreliminary3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- Heart of MidlothianRangerspreliminary3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →