UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Union St.Gilloise — Real Sociedad
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Union St.Gilloise are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Union St.Gilloise are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Union St.Gilloise — No. 5, 3 pts; Real Sociedad — No. 23, 0 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Union St.Gilloise: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Union St.Gilloise — Real Sociedad What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Union St.Gilloise not to lose | 71% | |
| Real Sociedad not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Union St.Gilloise
- Union St.Gilloise goals
- Real Sociedad goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10OH Leuven1:1
- 20.09away · Royal Antwerp2:0
- 17.09away · Viktoria Plzeň3:0
- 12.09Lommel5:0
- 05.09away · Sporting Charleroi3:2
- 11.10Deportivo A Coruña3:2
- 20.09away · Valencia3:2
- 17.09AFC Bournemouth1:2
- 13.09Atlético Madrid0:3
- 07.09away · Elche3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Straight to the round of 16 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 5, Straight to the round of 16 | Union St.Gilloise | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6, Straight to the round of 16 | Ferencváros | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Lillestrøm | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 23, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 24, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 7217101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 6221161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 5225241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →