Norwegian Eliteserien, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Viking — Tromsø
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Viking are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Viking are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Viking — No. 2, 53 pts; Tromsø — No. 3, 39 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Viking: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Viking 2 wins, Tromsø 1, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Viking 12, Tromsø 14.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Viking — Tromsø What is xG? | 2.2–1.1 | |
| Viking not to lose | 85% | |
| Tromsø not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Handicap Viking
- Viking goals
- Tromsø goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 13.10Bayern München3:3
- 09.10away · Brann2:0
- 20.09Lillestrøm3:0
- 13.09Kristiansund8:1
- 09.09away · VfB Stuttgart1:3
- 11.10away · Fredrikstad1:1
- 20.09Hamarkameratene3:2
- 12.09away · Rosenborg3:5
- 06.09away · Kristiansund0:2
- 30.08Sarpsborg 080:0
Head to head
- 19.10.2025Tromsø — Viking1:3
- 27.04.2025Viking — Tromsø4:4
- 01.09.2024Tromsø — Viking2:2
- 05.05.2024Viking — Tromsø2:1
- 22.10.2023Viking — Tromsø3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Bodø/Glimt | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Viking | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Tromsø | 22 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- LillestrømBrannpreliminary3928331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- KristiansundKFUMpreliminary4230281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Sarpsborg 08Aalesundpreliminary5223251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.7
- StartSandefjordpreliminary4426291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- MoldeFredrikstadpreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →