Kazakhstan Premier League, round 30 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Zhetysu Taldykorgan — FC Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Astana are clear favourites: 65% against 13% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Astana are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Zhetysu Taldykorgan — No. 16, 22 pts; FC Astana — No. 3, 48 pts. A gap of 26 pts.
- Zhetysu Taldykorgan: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0 wins, FC Astana 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zhetysu Taldykorgan — FC Astana What is xG? | 0.8–1.9 | |
| Zhetysu Taldykorgan not to lose | 35% | |
| FC Astana not to lose | 87% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Zhetysu Taldykorgan
- Zhetysu Taldykorgan goals
- FC Astana goals
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Form
- 10.10away · Kairat Almaty0:1
- 18.09Kaspiy Aktau0:1
- 12.09away · FC Yelimay1:2
- 05.09Irtysh Pavlodar1:0
- 29.08away · Ulytau0:3
- 10.10away · Tobol Kostanay1:2
- 17.09Kairat Almaty1:0
- 12.09away · Ordabasy Shymkent0:1
- 06.09FC Yelimay4:0
- 30.08away · Atyrau3:2
Head to head
- 08.03.2026FC Astana — Zhetysu Taldykorgan4:1
- 06.07.2025Zhetysu Taldykorgan — FC Astana0:2
- 30.03.2025FC Astana — Zhetysu Taldykorgan3:0
- 10.11.2024FC Astana — Zhetysu Taldykorgan5:0
- 05.03.2024Zhetysu Taldykorgan — FC Astana0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | +32 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 26 | 14 | +16 | 48 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | +9 | 45 |
| 15 | FC Altai Oskemen | 27 | 5 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | -19 | 22 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- Irtysh PavlodarOrdabasy Shymkentpreliminary1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- Kairat AlmatyFC Altai Oskemenpreliminary821261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Kaspiy AktauFC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovskpreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Tobol KostanayAktobepreliminary4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UlytauAtyraupreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- FC YelimayOkzhetpes Kokshetaupreliminary4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- ZhenisKaisar Kyzylordapreliminary5128221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →