Russian Premier League: matchday 11 predictions
17–19 October · 8 matches · season 2026/27
Russian Premier League matchday 11: 8 matches, 17–19 October. The model expects 2.6 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 6 matches, an away win in 0 and a draw in 2. In matchday 10 the most likely outcome came true in 4 of 8 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteZenit St. Petersburg — FK AkhmatZenit St. Petersburg 71% to win; most likely score 2:1
- Closest matchLokomotiv Moscow — FC Krasnodar36% v 32%, draw 32%
- Most goals expected · Top-of-the-table clashDinamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow2.9 goals on average; over 2.5: 54%; 2nd v 1st in the table
- Possible upsetBaltika — FC RostovFC Rostov 15% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
CSKA Moscow lead with 22 points from 10 matches; Dinamo Moscow are second, level on points. The leader’s game this round: Dinamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow, 24% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: CSKA Moscow 8%, Dinamo Moscow 24%.
In the relegation and relegation play-off places: Lokomotiv Moscow, Akron Togliatti, Rodina and Fakel; they are 1 to 8 points behind 12th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Rodina, 72% to go down.
The matches
Saturday, 17 October
- 4731221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 4630241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
Sunday, 18 October
- 712181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 6225131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5629151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
Monday, 19 October
- 323137XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Russian Premier League: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →