VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 2 November, MSK
AKM — Bars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
AKM are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- AKM are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AKM — Bars | 2.5–2.1 | |
| AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap AKM
- AKM goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:3
- 10.10Orsk3:0
- 05.10away · Perm0:3
- 03.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:0
- 01.10away · Izhevsk3:4 OT
- 12.10Zvezda Moscow5:2
- 10.10Khimik2:1
- 06.10away · Gornyak3:2
- 04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
- 02.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Bars — AKM3:1
- 23.10.2025AKM — Bars2:3
- 03.02.2025AKM — Bars6:1
- 16.10.2024Bars — AKM1:3
- 28.12.2023AKM — Bars3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs | Gornyak | 10 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 14, Playoffs | Bars | 14 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
VHL on the same day
- KrasnoyarskKhimikpreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.7
- Omskie KryliaMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →