KHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Cherepovets — Shanghai
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cherepovets are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Cherepovets are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cherepovets — Shanghai | 3.0–2.2 | |
| Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Cherepovets
- Cherepovets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10SKA St. Petersburg2:0
- 10.10away · Bars Kazan4:1
- 08.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2
- 06.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:2
- 03.10Shanghai2:1 OT
- 12.10Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 07.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2
- 05.10away · Lada5:0
- 03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT
- 30.09Magnitogorsk4:1
Head to head
- 03.10.2026Cherepovets — Shanghai2:1 OT
- 12.02.2026Shanghai — Cherepovets2:3
- 08.11.2025Shanghai — Cherepovets2:4
- 01.11.2025Cherepovets — Shanghai3:6
- 26.10.2025Cherepovets — Shanghai4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokBarys Astanapreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- MagnitogorskSalavat Ufapreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- Bars KazanNizhny Novgorodpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscowpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →