NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Dallas Stars — Boston Bruins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dallas Stars are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Dallas Stars — No. 25, 5 pts; Boston Bruins — No. 6, 10 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Boston Bruins: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dallas Stars 3 wins, Boston Bruins 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dallas Stars — Boston Bruins | 2.9–2.4 | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dallas Stars
- Dallas Stars goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Colorado Avalanche2:3
- 11.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins1:2 SO
- 09.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:0
- 06.10San Jose Sharks5:0
- 04.10away · Nashville Predators1:2
- 14.10away · San Jose Sharks6:3
- 10.10Philadelphia Flyers5:1
- 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
- 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
- 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4
Head to head
- 01.04.2026Boston Bruins — Dallas Stars6:3
- 21.01.2026Dallas Stars — Boston Bruins6:2
- 15.11.2024Dallas Stars — Boston Bruins7:2
- 25.10.2024Boston Bruins — Dallas Stars2:5
- 19.02.2024Boston Bruins — Dallas Stars4:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsToronto Maple Leafspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.4
- Montreal CanadiensSan Jose Sharkspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 5:26.1
- New Jersey DevilsColorado Avalanchepreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
- New York IslandersAnaheim Duckspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Washington CapitalsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- St. Louis BluesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Edmonton OilersMinnesota Wildpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Seattle KrakenDetroit Red Wingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →