PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

KHL · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Platinum Arena

Khabarovsk — Lada

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:0Came true
Khabarovsk47%
Draw in regulation22%
Lada31%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Khabarovsk to win (59% incl. overtime), came true.

Khabarovsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Khabarovsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • Khabarovsk: 3 wins in a row; Lada: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Khabarovsk 3 wins, Lada 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Khabarovsk — Lada2.6–2.1
Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Khabarovsk
  • Khabarovsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Khabarovsk

  • 08.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:0
  • 06.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 04.10away · Yekaterinburg3:0
  • 02.10away · Yekaterinburg0:3
  • 29.09Niznekamsk1:0

Lada

  • 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
  • 05.10Shanghai0:5
  • 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
  • 30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3
  • 28.09away · Dinamo Minsk4:5

Head to head

  • 17.03.2026Lada — Khabarovsk5:2
  • 17.10.2025Khabarovsk — Lada3:0
  • 20.03.2025Lada — Khabarovsk3:4 SO
  • 18.03.2025Lada — Khabarovsk2:3
  • 15.10.2024Khabarovsk — Lada3:5

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSKA St. Petersburg1481547–44+317
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1581624–22+217
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
21Sochi14301119–49-306
22Lada15141024–59-356

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • KhabarovskSpartak Moscow14 October · KHL
    2The most likely outcome came true: 223%Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:3.4.7
  • LadaSKA St. Petersburg15 October · KHL
    2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4

KHL on the same day

  • Salavat UfaNiznekamsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.0
  • Barys AstanaNovosibirsk
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
  • Bars KazanSochi
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.9
  • Nizhny NovgorodMagnitogorsk
    2The most likely outcome came true: 221%Final score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
  • ShanghaiDinamo Minsk
    2The most likely outcome came true: 220%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:4.5.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →