KHL · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Ufa-Arena
Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:3Came true
In short
Final score 4:3: the model's most likely outcome, Salavat Ufa to win (60% incl. overtime), came true.
Salavat Ufa are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- Salavat Ufa are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Salavat Ufa 5 wins, Niznekamsk 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk | 2.8–2.2 | |
| Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Salavat Ufa
- Salavat Ufa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Magnitogorsk1:7
- 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
- 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
- 02.10Novosibirsk2:4
- 30.09away · Sochi3:6
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 27.09away · Vladivostok5:3
Head to head
- 18.09.2026Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk2:0
- 18.03.2026Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk3:0
- 02.02.2026Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk2:1
- 05.01.2026Salavat Ufa — Niznekamsk2:1
- 23.11.2025Niznekamsk — Salavat Ufa1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 15 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
Next matches
- Salavat UfaNovosibirsk14 October · KHL65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- NiznekamskTractor Chelyabinsk16 October · KHL44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
KHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 122%1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
- 77231The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.9
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
- 32682The most likely outcome came true: 220%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →