KHL · Monday, 12 October, MSK · VOLGA Arena
Nizhny Novgorod — Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:3 OTCame true
In short
Final score 2:3 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Magnitogorsk to win (61% incl. overtime), came true.
Magnitogorsk are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Magnitogorsk | 2.4–2.9 | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
- Nizhny Novgorod goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 08.10Cherepovets2:3
- 05.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:1 SO
- 03.10away · Sochi6:0
- 01.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:1
- 28.09Salavat Ufa0:3
- 09.10Salavat Ufa7:1
- 07.10Vladivostok3:0
- 05.10Vladivostok2:5
- 02.10away · Spartak Moscow2:0
- 30.09away · Shanghai1:4
Head to head
- 17.04.2026Magnitogorsk — Nizhny Novgorod4:3 OT
- 15.04.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Magnitogorsk3:2 OT
- 13.04.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Magnitogorsk2:4
- 11.04.2026Magnitogorsk — Nizhny Novgorod4:1
- 09.04.2026Magnitogorsk — Nizhny Novgorod4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
Next matches
- Dinamo MinskMagnitogorsk14 October · KHL52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- Nizhny NovgorodDynamo Moscow16 October · KHL53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
KHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 122%1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.0
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
- 77231The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.9
- 32682The most likely outcome came true: 220%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →