Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Lida — Baranavichy

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Model prediction for 15 October

Lida67%
Draw in regulation17%
Baranavichy16%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Lida are clear favourites: 79% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Lida are more dangerous in attack: 3.8 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lida — Baranavichy3.8–2.1
Lida to win (incl. OT and shootout)79%
Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout)21%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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Form

Lida

  • 12.10away · Slavutych4:0
  • 10.10away · Slavutych0:3
  • 06.10Mogilev5:1
  • 04.10Mogilev6:0
  • 29.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:5 SO

Baranavichy

  • 11.10Vitebsk3:5
  • 09.10Vitebsk4:2
  • 05.10away · Soligorsk5:4
  • 03.10away · Soligorsk2:4
  • 30.09Yunost Minsk5:0

Head to head

  • 23.12.2025Lida — Baranavichy3:0
  • 21.12.2025Lida — Baranavichy4:0
  • 20.09.2025Baranavichy — Lida1:3
  • 18.09.2025Baranavichy — Lida3:6
  • 06.02.2025Baranavichy — Lida2:4

Full record: 17 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 116%Model's score: 4:15.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →