Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Vitebsk — Yunost Minsk

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Model prediction for 15 October

Vitebsk59%
Draw in regulation20%
Yunost Minsk21%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Vitebsk are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Vitebsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vitebsk — Yunost Minsk3.1–2.0
Vitebsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)71%
Yunost Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)29%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vitebsk
  • Vitebsk goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Vitebsk

  • 11.10away · Baranavichy5:3
  • 09.10away · Baranavichy2:4
  • 05.10away · Slavutych3:4
  • 03.10away · Slavutych3:6
  • 30.09away · Mogilev2:0

Yunost Minsk

  • 12.10Soligorsk1:7
  • 10.10Soligorsk4:6
  • 04.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 03.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 30.09away · Baranavichy0:5

Head to head

  • 24.11.2025Vitebsk — Yunost Minsk1:3
  • 22.11.2025Vitebsk — Yunost Minsk2:3 SO
  • 06.09.2025Yunost Minsk — Vitebsk5:0
  • 04.09.2025Yunost Minsk — Vitebsk5:4 OT
  • 21.04.2025Yunost Minsk — Vitebsk5:2

Full record: 39 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 116%Model's score: 4:15.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 5:25.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →