KHL · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada

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Model prediction for 2 November

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl67%
Draw in regulation18%
Lada15%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.

Why

  • Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada3.0–1.4
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout)80%
Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout)20%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)32%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)68%

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Form

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

  • 10.10Dinamo Minsk6:1
  • 05.10away · Bars Kazan2:0
  • 03.10away · Dinamo Minsk3:4
  • 30.09Novosibirsk3:1
  • 27.09away · Novosibirsk2:1

Lada

  • 12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
  • 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
  • 05.10Shanghai0:5
  • 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
  • 30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Lada — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:4
  • 30.01.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada3:1
  • 28.10.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada3:2
  • 16.09.2025Lada — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
  • 17.09.2024Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada2:1

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCSKA Moscow14110349–27+2222
3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceLokomotiv Yaroslavl14110338–23+1522
4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCherepovets1592435–31+420
21Sochi14301119–49-306
22Lada15141024–59-356

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →