Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.
Why
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada | 3.0–1.4 | |
| Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 80% | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 20% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 32% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10Dinamo Minsk6:1
- 05.10away · Bars Kazan2:0
- 03.10away · Dinamo Minsk3:4
- 30.09Novosibirsk3:1
- 27.09away · Novosibirsk2:1
- 12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
- 05.10Shanghai0:5
- 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
- 30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3
Head to head
- 13.03.2026Lada — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:4
- 30.01.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada3:1
- 28.10.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada3:2
- 16.09.2025Lada — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
- 17.09.2024Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Lada2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- Bars KazanSKA St. Petersburgpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →