AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Rochester Americans — Hershey Bears
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rochester Americans are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rochester Americans — Hershey Bears | 2.9–2.7 | |
| Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rochester Americans
- Rochester Americans goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Utica Comets1:2
- 10.10Syracuse Crunch7:1
- 04.10away · Belleville Senators2:3 SO
- 03.10Toronto Marlies3:1
- 26.04away · Toronto Marlies2:4
- 12.10Texas Stars6:1
- 11.10Texas Stars2:1
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers3:2
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers2:5
- 08.05Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:4
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Hershey Bears — Rochester Americans5:4 OT
- 31.01.2026Rochester Americans — Hershey Bears3:1
- 29.01.2026Rochester Americans — Hershey Bears1:3
- 10.11.2025Hershey Bears — Rochester Americans2:1
- 20.01.2025Hershey Bears — Rochester Americans5:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Toronto Marlies | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 8 | Hershey Bears | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 13 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 4 | 2 | +8 | 5 | .625 |
| 14 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
AHL on the same day
- Milwaukee AdmiralsManitoba Moosepreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- Colorado EaglesCharlotte Checkerspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Henderson Silver KnightsOntario Reignpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
- San Jose BarracudaAbbotsford Canuckspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →