VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Ryazan — Bars

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Model prediction for 31 October

Ryazan47%
Draw in regulation24%
Bars29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ryazan are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.

Why

  • Ryazan are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ryazan — Bars2.3–1.8
Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)27%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)73%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Ryazan
  • Ryazan goals
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Form

Ryazan

  • 12.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk8:0
  • 10.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
  • 08.10Orsk2:3 OT
  • 03.10away · Perm0:1
  • 01.10away · Toros Neftekamsk0:3

Bars

  • 12.10Zvezda Moscow5:2
  • 10.10Khimik2:1
  • 06.10away · Gornyak3:2
  • 04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
  • 02.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4

Head to head

  • 26.01.2026Bars — Ryazan2:1
  • 21.10.2025Ryazan — Bars4:3 SO
  • 30.01.2025Ryazan — Bars1:0
  • 21.10.2024Bars — Ryazan1:3
  • 09.12.2023Ryazan — Bars1:2 OT

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, PlayoffsGornyak1071229–18+1115
14, PlayoffsBars1471635–44-915
15, PlayoffsKristall Saratov1271431–41-1015
17Toros Neftekamsk1362530–31-114
18Ryazan1554630–32-214
19Rubin Tyumen1270529–32-314

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →