Ryazan — Bars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ryazan are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.
Why
- Ryazan are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ryazan — Bars | 2.3–1.8 | |
| Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 27% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 73% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ryazan
- Ryazan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk8:0
- 10.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
- 08.10Orsk2:3 OT
- 03.10away · Perm0:1
- 01.10away · Toros Neftekamsk0:3
- 12.10Zvezda Moscow5:2
- 10.10Khimik2:1
- 06.10away · Gornyak3:2
- 04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
- 02.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4
Head to head
- 26.01.2026Bars — Ryazan2:1
- 21.10.2025Ryazan — Bars4:3 SO
- 30.01.2025Ryazan — Bars1:0
- 21.10.2024Bars — Ryazan1:3
- 09.12.2023Ryazan — Bars1:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs | Gornyak | 10 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 14, Playoffs | Bars | 14 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
VHL on the same day
- GornyakDyn. Altaypreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →