NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
St. Louis Blues — Winnipeg Jets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: St. Louis Blues 53%, Winnipeg Jets 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.
Facts
- League table: St. Louis Blues — No. 16, 7 pts; Winnipeg Jets — No. 10, 9 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: St. Louis Blues 1 win, Winnipeg Jets 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — Winnipeg Jets | 2.7–2.5 | |
| St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap St. Louis Blues
- St. Louis Blues goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 14.10away · Ottawa Senators7:2
- 11.10Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
- 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
- 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
- 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6
- 14.10Minnesota Wild5:2
- 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
- 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
- 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
Head to head
- 10.04.2026St. Louis Blues — Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 15.03.2026Winnipeg Jets — St. Louis Blues3:2
- 21.01.2026Winnipeg Jets — St. Louis Blues3:1
- 18.12.2025St. Louis Blues — Winnipeg Jets1:0
- 05.05.2025Winnipeg Jets — St. Louis Blues4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsToronto Maple Leafspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.4
- Montreal CanadiensSan Jose Sharkspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 5:26.1
- New Jersey DevilsColorado Avalanchepreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
- New York IslandersAnaheim Duckspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Washington CapitalsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Dallas StarsBoston Bruinspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Edmonton OilersMinnesota Wildpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Seattle KrakenDetroit Red Wingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →