Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK

Sweeny D. — Coppejans K.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Sweeny D.54%
Coppejans K.46%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Sweeny D. to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.

Sweeny D. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 22.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sweeny D. 1490, Coppejans K. 1403.

Probabilities

Games over 22.551%
Games under 22.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sweeny D. games
  • Coppejans K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sweeny D.

  • 05.10Schoolkate T.2:1
  • 24.09Daniel T.0:2

Coppejans K.

  • 05.10Basavareddy N.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Coppejans K.Tsitsipas S.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →